TIME SERIES ANALYSIS ON THE TREATMENT OF SOME
COMMON DISEASES
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TITLE PAGE
BY
---
--/H2013/01430
DEPARTMENT OF ----
SCHOOL OF ---
INSTITUTE OF ---
APPROVAL PAGE
This is to certify that the research work, "time series analysis on the treatment of some Common diseases" by ---, Reg. No. --/H2007/01430 submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement award of a Higher National Diploma on --- has been approved.
By
--- . ---
Supervisor Head of Department.
Signature………………. Signature……………….
……………………………….
---
External Invigilator
DEDICATION
This project is dedicated to Almighty God for his protection, kindness, strength over my life throughout the period and also to my --- for his financial support and moral care towards me.Also to my mentor --- for her academic advice she often gives to me. May Almighty God shield them from the peril of this world and bless their entire endeavour Amen.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
The successful completion of this project work could not have been a reality without the encouragement of my --- and other people. My immensely appreciation goes to my humble and able supervisor mr. --- for his kindness in supervising this project.
My warmest gratitude goes to my parents for their moral, spiritual and financial support throughout my study in this institution.
My appreciation goes to some of my lecturers among whom are Mr. ---, and Dr. ---. I also recognize the support of some of the staff of --- among whom are: The General Manager, Deputy General manager, the internal Auditor Mr. --- and the ---. Finally, my appreciation goes to my elder sister ---, my lovely friends mercy ---, ---, --- and many others who were quite helpful.
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ABSTRACT
This study out to establish the current trend of most common ill-health among the students of kwara state polytechnic Ilorin as well as the student patronize the medical centre within a define time frame. the least square approach were employed which revealed the present of trend and season effect on the data basically to be able to forecast for the subsequent years
TABLE OF CONTENT
Title page
Certification i
Dedication ii
Acknowledgement iii-vi
Abstract v
Table of content vi
CHAPTER ONE
- introduction 1
1.1 Hint on the polytechnic medical centre 2
1.2 Aims and study objectives 3
1.3 Source of data 3
1.4 limitation of the study 4
1.5 Definition of some terms 4
CHAPTER TWO
2.0 literature review 8
CHAPTER THREE
3.0 methodology/ presentation of data 11
3.1 Methodology 12
3.2 index estimation 13
3.3 forecast elements 14
CHAPTER FOUR
4.0 Analysis of data 18
4.1 Estimation of the parameters 20
4.2 Quarterly Presentation of data 21
4.3 Yearly and monthly presentation of data 22
4.4 Forecast for the two subsequent
Years using regression model 22
CHAPTER FIVE
5.0 Summary of findings 28
5.1 Conclusion 29
5.2 Recommendation 30
Reference 31
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
All glory, honor, adoration and praise to Almighty God for his sustenance, guidance and protection throughout the period of this project work, may his name be praised for ever.
My utmost reverence and gratitude goes to my project supervisor Mr Yusuf K.N and my able coordinator Mrs Aiyelabegan A.B and my lecturers in department Mr Shaffi pray that God will bless you all.
My profound gratitude goes to my beloved and ever caring parents Mr and Mrs Adekanye and Mr and Mrs D.K Oyelowo for their encouragement and support financially, spiritually, and physically. May you live long to eat the fruit of your labour.
This section will not be complete if I don’t mention and appreciate the love, kindness, affection shown to me by my lovely spouse who tremendously supports me in my career. I pray that god in his infinite mercy will continue to uphold you and give you success all round in your endeavors.
Also I am grateful to my siblings, Oluwasegun, Oluwabusayomi and my baby Oluwafikayomi my cousin Oluwatimilehin, Morenikeji and precious.
Special thanks also goes to my dearly beloved friends Odunola Janet, Grace, Abigeal, Sikirat, Janet, Oluwafunmilayo, tosin and others. May the love of Christ continue to bind us together, I love you all.
Lastly, I am deeply grateful to my H.O.D Mr Y.F Salawu for the knowledge impacted into me during this programme God bless you. Likewise I appreciate my entire fellow course mate. may God reward you all.
No achievement in life is possible without the help of many known and unborn individuals who have something to contribute to our lives. Thanks and God bless you all. (Amen)
DEDICATION
This project work is dedicated to almighty God the giver of knowledge and understanding and to my beloved parents Mr & Mrs Adekanye for their love, encouragement and care; I pray they shall live to eat the fruit of their labour. (Amen)
Also to my brother and sister thanks a lot I love you all.
CHAPTER ONE
- INTRODUCTION
This project is concerned with the health problem that are common among the student particularly, affecting the student of kwara state polytechnic Ilorin. Hence there is need to define health.
Health is a state of optimal physical, manta and social well being and not mainly the absence of disease and infirmly. it is a condition in which the function of the body are duly discharged.
The state of health is much more then freedom from disease. To live a good state of health, one must avoid dirty environment and take to well hygienically prepared food and water which are germ and bacteria free.
HINTS ON THE POLYTECHINC MEDICAL CENTRE
Kwara state polytechnic was established in the year 1972. According to a popular adage which says “health is medical of wealth the institution find it necessary and essential to establish its own medical centre, just for student staff needs.
The clinic was established in 1972 when Kwara state polytechnic was officially commissioned. The operation in the clinic state with one doctor, two non-professional members of staff and five nurse. The increase in the students admitted yearly lead to the staff. Both skilled and unskilled are worked there. There are five sector which are healthier by the principal medical officer (doctor).he is the centre consultants. the centre bag is medical second section where we have statistical record of the register and patient, there is nursing section and a matron who is the chief nursing officer health this section. There the doctor treats many according to the prescription. The fourth section is pharmacy which is to compound and dispend the drops the last section is laboratory where investigations is been carried out such on stool, and urine.
1.2 AIMS AND STUDY OBJECTIVE
The study is emphasized the importance of setting cp medical centre in the campus. It showed the picture of medical patient attendance in the clinic in a given period of time. It analyzed the trend of fluctuation in the number of patient’s attendance in the clinic at every season.
The study is designed to give a clear picture of the problem encountered by the patient, clinic and probably solution with progress so far since its establishment.
1.3 SOURSE OF DATA
The data used in this project (study) is mainly collected from the clinic record office of Kwara state polytechnic consists of all the daily attendance of the patients in the clinic between January to December 2008to 2012.
1.4 LIMITATION OF THE STUDY.
The intent ion of the study was to cover up to nothing less than (10) years duration in order to available one. Because keeping of a record of patients that called which implies that there is no separated statistics for the patients that called.
There, need to write a letter of request and take some other processes to ensure the data needed was released.
1.6 DEFINATION OF SOME TERMS.
* MALARIA – is a mosquito-borne infection disease of human and other animals caused by protests (a type of micro organism) of the genus plasmodium. It begins with introduce the protest through saliva in to the circulatory system in the produce. malaria cause symptoms that typical individual fever and headache which in severe case can progress to coma or death malaria is a parasitic infection that most causative organism is plasmodium falciparum which is carried by mosquitoes. It is also characterized by chills fever and sweating occurring at interval which depends on the time require for development of a new generation of parasite in the body.
* BODY PAIN is an unpleasant feeling often caused by intense or damage stimuli such as stubbing a toe burring a finger, putting alcohol on a cut and bumping the “funny bone” and. it can also be define as an unpleasant sensory and emotion experience association with actual or potential tissue damage or described in term of such damage. This is an actual modifiable infection sickness of the topic cause by a view through suffering of mind or body and cause be transmitted by a mosquito.
*DIARRHEA- it means an increase frequency or decrease constancy of bowel movement. Diarrhea is also classified by physicians into acute which last one or two week and chronic which continue for longer than 2 or 3 weeks viral and bacterial infection are the most common causes of acute diarrhea. This from the chief symptom of several diseases it is the looseness of the bowel l.e too frequent and too watery emoting of bowel.
* DYSENTARY- dysentery broadly refers to gastrointestinal disorder characterized by inflammation of the intestines, chiefly the colon. it also present in loose, watery stools. Also called bloody fox it is an infection disease especially of the colon and attended by pain abdomens Tenesmos and frequent stool containing blood and mucus. The causative agents re bacteria agents are bacteria, protozoa or parasitic worm.
* COUGH: a cough is a free full release of air from the lungs that lungs that can be heard. Coughing protects the respiratory system by clearing it of irritants and secretion.
* COLD: - It means having a low or inadequate temperature active or feeling a sensation of coldness or having been made cold. A mild viral infection involving the nose and respiratory passages.
CHAPTER FIVE
5.0 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
from the analysis, it is observed that in the first 12 months, the percentage of recovery of illness is high only the percentage of illness is high only in 2 months out of 12 months while 9 month has the highest proportion of non-recovery of illness, only in the month of march, both recovery and non-recovery had almost equal proportion and this analysis is not a result from the findings most especially for the health of students shows that only in 2 months out of total of students in 2008 recovered above average and it is suppose toe that proportion of recovery will be more than non-recovery. this result shows low effective than kwara state polytechnic medical centre is in her responsibility to students at their response to the emergency cases of ill-health at the centre.
At this junction it is imperative that the school authority should come to the aid of the centre because they lack many things and without which poor performance from the centre will continue to occur
5.2 CONCLUSION
The seasonal index used according to the data is monthly while the table showing the quarterly presentation of data monthly
the basis of writing this project has been to study the trend of how effective the kwara state polytechnic medical centre is and the data is been collected from kwara state polytechnic medical centre Ilorin kwara state. From the data obtained from the case study of this project it was noted that common illness occur in the school. The number of students checking in from time to time varies and from the graph, we can also see that it is fluctuating.
Generally, there is low percentage of common illness in kwara state polytechnic Ilorin.
5.2 RECOMMENDATIONS
The schools authority rises up immediately to give necessary aid and support to the clinic I order to be able to discharge their duties diligently. The school should expedite action to equip the clinic and put all necessary facilities in place in order to save lives and health of the students.
More doctors, nurses and attendant should be employed so that clinic will be more vibrant and efficient.
Drug should be made available from time to time for first treatments and for the pharmaceutical department to be equipped.
Tests should be critically conducted on patient, that call should be safely kept from time to time. medical fees collected from student should be used mainly on the clinic and it should not be diverted or used for another purpose for the course to improve.
CHAPTER TWO: The chapter one of this work has been displayed above. The complete chapter two of "time series analysis on the treatment of some Common diseases" is also available. Order full work to download. Chapter two of "time series analysis on the treatment of some Common diseases" consists of the literature review. In this chapter all the related work on "time series analysis on the treatment of some Common diseases" was reviewed.
CHAPTER THREE: The complete chapter three of "time series analysis on the treatment of some Common diseases" is available. Order full work to download. Chapter three of "time series analysis on the treatment of some Common diseases" consists of the methodology. In this chapter all the method used in carrying out this work was discussed.
CHAPTER FOUR: The complete chapter four of "time series analysis on the treatment of some Common diseases" is available. Order full work to download. Chapter four of "time series analysis on the treatment of some Common diseases" consists of all the test conducted during the work and the result gotten after the whole work
CHAPTER FIVE: The complete chapter five of "time series analysis on the treatment of some Common diseases" is available. Order full work to download. Chapter five of "time series analysis on the treatment of some Common diseases" consist of conclusion, recommendation and references.
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